Showing posts with label Climate Change. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Climate Change. Show all posts

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Climate Change Results in Higher Frequency of Severe Local Weather Events

Tags: Climate Change, Journalism Better, CJR, Explanations Still too Complex for Most, Most Weather Comes from Equatorial and Pole Oceans and Winds

With all the reporting on climate change, I have not yet seen widespread simple explanations for why a warmer “average” earth temperature matters when its changes are very small compared to the day-to-day change in temperature seen in local weather reports.


The real problem is not the average temperature, but the temperature of the water and air at the poles and equatorial countries which drive most of our weather patterns. Land temperature affects the weather too on a more local level, but I am not completely sure, because it is rarely discussed.


Overall Climate change is most actuated by movements of both ocean currents and high altitude winds. All the oil company driven explanations why Climate Change is not happening have been discounted. Some scientists are honest and some are not. Our brain emphasizes what we want to believe and forgets contradictory information.


Because Oregon is a tough state to predict weather patterns and temperatures, the television meteorologists I watch on ABC are quite competent, an element not seen in most weather forecasters who have a journalists dumbed down degree with most of the really good ones working for the government or academics where high mathematical skills are necessary.


What happens when they get warmer or colder? Why are dry and hot areas less likely to get rain or snow? Why so much bad weather occurs in the Midwest and the South and now the Northeast Coast? Why is California and the Southwest and Southeast in such a long-term drought?


I highly recommend the unbiased analysis of the news by the Columbia Journalism Review in many areas. They normally don't bother covering Right Wing radical publications or television, but print articles which can be the best place to go for news. If you read www.cjr.org long enough, you will see that all that is printed is far from the best interpretation of the facts as we see daily in political debates.


I am still waiting for thinking journalists who ignore the 15,000 tweets or e-mails they get daily. I really like the T-Mobile ad about kids texting so much that it fills the school bus if they are printed out. Not many know that texting can take up to 13 hours a day for many teenagers!


Adobe Flash Drives deposits cookies which allows corporations to monitor which website we visit. We see every day the never-ending drive to increase profits leading more idealistic CEOs such as the one for Google make a deal with monster ethics Verizon to make a two-tier or more Internet to use their huge storage of information about everyone of us. Those who pay more may cause your web access to certain websites slow to a crawl. Don't let them do this to us. Give us more speed. Comcast limits movie playing to just barely high enough so they can't be downloaded during heavy traffic times.


Jim Kawakami, August 12, 2010, http://jimboguy.blogspot.com

Best Media Coverage of Explanation for Current Heat, Floods, Droughts, Higher Food Prices, Greenland Icebergs Breaking Off Faster, More Fires, and Floods Columbia Journalism Review CJR The Observatory August 12, 2010, by Curtis Brainard

More and more, reporters have been asking whether or not climate change could be responsible for this summer’s extreme weather. Thankfully, most have resisted the temptation to pin the events directly to global warming, placing them in proper climatic context instead.

For the last week, news outlets around the world have churned out stories about record-setting temperatures and blazing infernos around Moscow as well as flooding in Pakistan that the United Nations called the worst humanitarian crisis in recent history. To a lesser extent, there have also been plenty of reports about rain-induced landslides in China, severe droughts in sub-Saharan Africa, and the calving of an enormous iceberg from the Greenland ice sheet.

“The occurrence of all these events at almost the same time raises questions about their possible linkages to the predicted increase in intensity and frequency of extreme events” laid out in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2007 assessment report, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported Wednesday.

Indeed, before the WMO even made that observation, reporters were seeking out scientific sources that could provide answers. Articles and blog posts from Reuters, The Washington Post, Agence France-Presse, the Telegraph, BBC News, the Associated Press, New Scientist, and The Economist have all come to the same basic conclusion: While no single weather event can be attributed to climate change, more extreme weather events can be expected in a warmer world, and the ones we’ve seen this summer fit the IPCC’s predictions.

The contributions from New Scientist and The Economist are among the best of the bunch. Unlike some of the others, which explore the indeterminate climate connection but leave it that, they both explain (quoting from the latter) that “The immediate cause of the [the Russian heat wave and Pakistani flood, which appear to be linked] is the behavior of the jet stream, a band of high-level wind that travels east around the world and influences much of the weather below it.”

Basically, the jet stream’s current pattern has become “blocked,” as meteorologists put it, by north-south airflows high in the atmosphere. As a result, a high-pressure “ridge” has become locked in place over western Russia (with cooler than average temperatures to the east). The ridge intensifies the hot and dry conditions on the ground, which, in turn, intensify the ridge in a positive feedback loop. Meteorologists Jeff Masters and Rob Carver offered technical but useful explanations of the situation at Weather Underground, and an explanation of blocking is available at the National Weather Service’s Web site. … http://www.cjr.org/the_observatory/temperate_coverage_of_extreme.php?page=all

Best Explanation for Current Local Weather Extremes New Scientist Michael Marshall and Jessica Hamzelou August 12, 2010

Russia has sweltered under an intense heatwave since mid-July, recording its highest ever temperatures. The heat has caused widespread drought, ruined crops and encouraged wildfires that have blanketed Moscow in smog and now threaten key nuclear sites. According to the head of Moscow's health department, the city's daily death rate has doubled – up to 700 from the usual average of 360 to 380.

What caused the heatwave?

The primary cause was a "blocking event" – a static atmospheric pattern that has trapped a high-pressure bubble over western Russia since mid-July, pulling in hot air from Africa.

Blocking events naturally occur from time to time. There is evidence that low solar activity increases their numbers , and the sun is currently in a period of minimum activitypastedGraphic.pdf.

Jeff Knight of the UK Met Office says that the climatic pattern known as El Niño was also a factor. Around the new year, the eastern tropical Pacific heated up, sending a slow-moving wave of heat around the globe – conditions that are characteristic of El Niño. "It warms the global mean temperature with a delay of about six months," says Knight. This extra packet of heat will have increased the likelihood of heatwaves around the world.

Is climate change to blame?

Computer models of climate are not detailed enough at present to reproduce blocking events, making it impossible to say whether rising greenhouse gas concentrations makes them more likely to happen.

However, whatever the mechanism, there is a large body of evidence to suggest that climate change increases the number of heatwaves and make them longer. Since 1880 the frequency of extremely hot days has nearly tripled and the length of heatwaves across Europe has doubled. Models also predict that climate change will push up peak temperatures faster than average temperatures.

This is an example of climate change's tendency to increase the likelihood of extreme weather events. The number of very hot days is forecast to increase fivefold by 2100. One model study has suggested that Paris, France, will see the frequency of heatwaves grow by 31 per cent over the century, and that by 2100 they will last twice as long.

The consequences will be widespread. Agricultural yields are likely to drop, and summer death rates will rise worldwide. True, winter death rates will drop during milder winters, but this will not offset the extra summer deaths.

However, it is important to bear in mind that no single weather event can be reliably linked to climate change. "It's a statistical tendency, a push in one direction," says Joanna Haigh of Imperial College London. The Russian heatwave might have occurred anyway, without help from greenhouse gases. All we can say for sure is that such events are more likely in a warmer world. … http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19304-is-climate-change-burning-russia.html?full=true (The really good articles are blocked for non-subscribers. Expensive subscription which I stopped several years ago. Jim)

Friday, January 29, 2010

Cheap Genetic Disease Test for Devastating Diseases before Pregnancy

Obama's Rebuke of Republican House , Cheap Genetic Disease Test for Devastating Diseases before Pregnancy


Tags: Stock Market Herds, Bretton Woods?, Debt Ceiling, Obama's State of Union and Superb Answers to Republican House Questions , Cheap Genetic Disease Test for Devastating Diseases before Pregnancy, Zinn Dies, Rebuke of Supreme Court by Obama, Less Water Vapor Slows Climate Change, Popular Attorney General Cuomo Gets 20% of His Political Contribution from Real Estate Interests, Climate Change which Increases El Nino Rain and Droughts Affects the Northwest States Such as Oregon which Had 50% Less Snow than the Previous Year. Oregon and Washington from Warming Central Pacific Waters which Changes El Nino Effect and Jet Stream Patterns

Investors Move in Herds, Up or Down. Financial Times Jan 29, 2010, John Authers.

Authers says serious money can be made by spotting when the herd is gathering to make a decisive move. I noted the last few days that US stock market volatility is up indicating a decision point, possibly on the upside. Day to day look at the market is useless to base your investing, but spotting trends in the next few days and weeks may indicate that either a downward or upward move. My guess is that it would be up. Before Obama became President, GDP was down 6 percent. Since it is up 6 percent now, I look on this as optimistic. Asia and commodities may be headed down.

French President Sarkozy Demanded that Bretton Woods Currency Movement Plan Be Restored Financial Times Jan 29, 2010 Gillian Tett, Best British Financial Journalist in 2009, reports that Sarkozy being the head of Economic Davos Forum for the next year and going back to Bretton Woods has many in favor in it which gives him lots of power. The Republicans and Wall Street often selectively quotes Adam Smith as a financial genius in his book "The Wealth of Nations" which I have in the complete and unabridged edition, makes the comment that the free flow of currency will hurt weaker countries as we have seen in recent times and it has to be regulated. Sarkozy said that we owe Bretton Woods to the remarkable prosperity after World War II.

Debt Ceiling Raise opposed 100% by Senate Republicans by a vote of 60 to 40. NY Times 1/29/10


Must See/Read: President Obama Answered Poll Tested House Republican Questions January 29, 2010 at 5:58 PM EST

The President Holds an Open Discussion Across the Aisle

Today the President led something unusual in American politics – an open dialogue with members of the opposite party. I hope his talk with Republicans gets through Obama's thick head that Democrats essentially have to go it alone with the caveat that there is a more conservative large group of Independent voters. Be liberal and complete as possible for healthcare even if part of it has to go through the Conciliation Process and pass those parts that Republicans cannot stop bills popular as banning pre-existing conditions and stopping Health Insurance Corporations from dropping people who have an expensive illness by arbitrarily rejecting all expensive treatments as Humana did at one time according to the testimony of former Humana doctors.
Published: January 28, 2010

REDWOOD CITY, Calif. — The new movie “Extraordinary Measures” is based on the true story of a father who starts a company to develop a treatment for the rare genetic disease threatening to kill two of his children before they turn 10.

Now, a Silicon Valley start-up is making the bold claim that it can help eradicate that disease and more than 100 others by alerting parents-to-be who have the carrier genes.

The company, Counsyl, is selling a test that it says can tell couples whether they are at risk of having children with a range of inherited diseases, including cystic fibrosis, Tay-Sachs,spinal muscular atrophy, sickle cell disease and Pompe disease (the one afflicting the children in the movie). Once informed, Counsyl says, couples can take steps like using in vitro fertilization with genetic testing of the embryos, to avoid bearing children who would have the diseases, many of which are incurable and fatal in childhood.

Some genetic testing of prospective parents is done now, but only for a few diseases like cystic fibrosis and Tay-Sachs, and only for certain ethnic groups. Each test can cost hundreds or even thousands of dollars. Counsyl’s test, which analyzes DNA from saliva samples, costs $349 for an individual or $698 for a couple. Similar tests from others are on the way, experts say. The trend shows that new technology could make possible widespread screening for the risk of passing on rare diseases, something that was simply not practical before. ... http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/29/business/29gene.html?ref=global

Author of 2 Million Best Seller People's History of the United States Has Transformed How Americans in High School and College Students Think and Know About American History Died at Age 87 of a Heart Attack While Swimming http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/28/us/28zinn.html?scp=1&sq=Zinn%20Obituary&st=cse

Rare Rebuke of Supreme Court's Reversing 100 Year Law on Corporate Funding of Campaigns at State of the Union

Less Water Vapor Slows Earth's Warming Trends: Climate Science Exceedingly Complex with Many Factors Influencing Climate and Seemingly Contradictions Selectively Picked to Deny Climate Change
As a scientist, I fully appreciate its complexity from my own experience. Most of my career involved solving problems of all kinds where other scientists and engineers could not solve the problems because of contradictory data which could not be resolved. I have the ability based on a large store of knowledge to decide which data are irrelevant and solve these problems fairly quickly. The book Blink addresses people's ability to come to instantaneous conclusions based on a large store-house of knowledge and imagination. For example an expert on art forgeries knows almost immediately that a forgery is a fake, but relies on scientific tests to confirm what he already knows. This latter knowledge helps often for solutions to come when they are not thinking about the problem. This has been true for me. Jim Kawakami SINDYA N. BHANOO http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/29/science/earth/29vapor.html?scp=1&sq=Less%20Water%20Vapor&st=Search

Popular Attorney General Cuomo Gets 20% of His Political Contribution from Real Estate Interests to Protect Against a Large Number of Lawsuits for Shoddy Construction The Times articles distorts the truth in its headline and first few paragraphs to frame the issue in support of Republicans. Cuomo gets five times more money from other sources! http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/29/nyregion/29donations.html?scp=1&sq=real%20estate%20interest&st=cse

Climate Change which Increases El Nino Rain and Droughts Affects the Northwest States Such as Oregon which Had 50% Less Snow than the Previous Year. Oregon and Washington need snow for hydroelectric power. The change is due to Warm Waters in the Central Pacific which has Different Consequences than the Usual El Nino from Southeast Asia El Nino. Eugene, OR and Portland are experiencing one of the hottest January in history.


Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Hopefully, a Simple Guide to Explaining Global Warming

We all know that cloud covers at night results in higher temperatures. In Oregon where we get weather from Jet Streams from Southeast Asia and Alaska. The recent cold spell and snow resulted from Jet streams from Southeast Asia which went up to Alaska and down through Western Canada and into Oregon and Northern California and Nevada. Then the high pressure off Oregon dissipated allowing the moisture laden Southeast Asia Jet stream to come over Oregon to give us rain and night temperatures about over 35 degrees F warmer and those states east of us to suffer much lower temperatures and snow. Yes, warming near the equator which has a more direct line to the SUN does affect us too. The direction of the wind and ocean currents affect our weather enormously.

That is how we get hurricanes, droughts, and floods depending on the direction of the wind and currents. El Nino happens when the current which normally which goes from west to Asia reverses due to heating in the oceans in Southeast Asia. That is the reason that many of the high mountains in Asia, South America, and Africa have their glaciers melting for the first time over 2,000 years ago. The glaciers are normally replenished with snow, but if it rains due to warmer climates, it melts faster.

Bolivia is expected to suffer severely due increasing water shortages as are China, India, Africa, South America, USA, and many other countries. No country is absolutely safe because climate is produced from moving air and ocean currents. During El Nino, almost all the sea life off the shores of the Galapagos dies due to a lack of nutrients which comes from Antarctica with cold water which supports a critical food chain plankton.

Buried on page A-29 of today's New York Times was the news item with other short summaries with the neutral title "Weather Device Also Tracks Greenhouse Gas" a boring title not read by most readers of the Times. I saw the implication immediately. I was shocked this device was not put up decades earlier.

Because our oceans are huge and provide lots of water evaporation at only a small increase in temperatures, the water vapor in the air due to warming has an equal effect as carbon dioxide in warming the earth. So as the temperature increases on earth, water will become a greater influence on warming.

The thin air in the Arctic and Antarctica and Greenland with ozone depletion and warming has resulted in a huge melting and breakup of glaciers and sea ice.

I still cannot believe that the Climate scientists are using average temperatures to tell people about global warming! Because of how our weather is strongly influence by what happens in the equatorial oceans and Arctic/Antarctica where water temperatures have gone up five degrees or more and air temperatures by comparable amounts. What is not in the "official" climate reports is that politicians have a strong influence on what goes into the report. They left out the data on glaciers melting and breaking up at a much greater extent than predicted only a few years ago.

One good result of the climate talks is the agreement that we would compensate countries that decrease their rate of depleting their forests for farming and lumber. If the Amazon Rain Forest is gone, we are done too!

China and India have an extremely great stake in reducing global climate change because they have essentially depleted their aquifers and the Himalaya Mountain glaciers would not provide drinking and agriculture water anymore. China is doing more than any other country except the European Union in finding alternatives to petroleum based fuel. But they are using coal to a large extent as the Bush/Cheney did in our country. They doubled the yearly increase in carbon dioxide release!

Jim Kawakami, December 16, 2009, posted at http://jimboguy.blogspot.com

Increased Rate of Ocean Evaporation and Resulting Increased Water Vapor Evaporation from Ocean Combined with Carbon Dioxide Increase Powerful Climate Warming Combination

Published: December 15, 2009

A satellite instrument designed to improve weather forecasts has provided a wealth of data on the flow of heat-trapping carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, scientists said Tuesday.

The data also verified a mechanism in which rising temperatures increase the rate of ocean evaporation, and the increased water vapor, also a potent greenhouse gas, raises the earth’s temperatures further.

The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder — called AIRS for short — aboard NASA’s orbiting Aqua spacecraft measures temperature and cloud cover by recording infrared emissions across the entire globe twice a day. The data helps meteorologists predict major storms.

More careful analysis of the data, collected since the satellite’s launching in 2002, has also revealed levels of carbon dioxide, methane, ozone and other gases in the midtroposphere — the atmosphere between 3 and 7 miles above the earth’s surface.

“In essence, we’re videotaping the atmosphere and its constituents,” Thomas Pagano, the instrument’s project manager, said at a news conference in San Francisco during a meeting of the American Geophysical Union.

Carbon dioxide does not mix evenly in the troposphere, the scientists said. This allows them to track movement of the gas to see where it ends up, and predict whether oceans can continue to absorb much of it.

Carbon dioxide from factories, car travel and other human activity is believed by most scientists to be driving the warming of the planet. Levels of carbon dioxide in the air are currently approaching 390 parts per million, up from roughly 280 in the preindustrial age.

But the carbon dioxide itself only accounts for about a third of the increased trapping of heat on earth.

Using the AIRS data, Andrew Dessler, a professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M University, looked at the El Niño cycle of warming and cooling waters in the tropical Pacific.

As expected, water vapor increased when waters were warm and fell when temperatures cooled, and the measurements fit closely with climate models previously developed by scientists.

Thus, warming from rising carbon dioxide should also lead to increased water vapor and additional warming, doubling the warming effect of the carbon dioxide.

“Water vapor is really not much of an uncertainty anymore,” Dr. Dessler said.

Other heat-trapping gases like methane and ozone, also measured by AIRS, are known to contribute to global warming as well. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/16/science/space/16carbon.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=Weather%20Device&st=cse

* Climate Crackdown: UN Bars Friends of the Earth and Other Environmental Groups from Climate Talks *

The crackdown around the UN climate talks in Copenhagen is intensifying. Earlier today the United Nations suspended several mainstream environmental groups and barred members from re-entering the conference. Organizations targeted include Friends of the Earth, Tck Tck Tck, Avaaz, World Vision and Via Campesina. Democracy Now! caught up with Nnimmo Bassey, the
prominent Nigerian environmentalist, just as he was being removed by security from the conference.

Listen/Watch/Read
http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/16/climate_crackdown_un_bars_friends_of

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Earth Warming Seen Clearly Near Poles and Equator Increase Water Temp, Melting Glaciers, & Storms

Climate Warming e-mails Did Not Fake Science Based on AP & Other Investigations

The reason it took almost 40 years for scientists to almost universally agree that Global Climate Change and warming is occurring is that the scientists are much more brutally skeptical of studies done by someone else. Yes, some scientists are dishonest, but not even close to the dishonesty of politicians, Wall Street Investors, and Bankers, Big Pharma, Oil, and Health Insurance Corporations.
During the Clinton years cooling occurred due to a volcanic eruption which caused cooling here for several years. Even the stoppage of airplane flights in 2001 resulted in heating of the USA by one degree.

I still cannot believe that the Climate Scientists do not fulling explain what is happening to our ocean temperatures of 5 degrees F and more, rapidly melting glaciers in mountains and the Arctic and Antarctica, and a great increase in Cyclones (Hurricanes for us) and droughts all over the world. A warm Atlantic Ocean caused long droughts in the Southeast and Southwest USA and more violent storms, especially in the Midwest and Gulf States with seemingly greater frequency.

Jim Kawakami, December 12, 2009, Posted http://jimboguy.blogspot.com

... One e-mail that skeptics have been citing often since the messages were posted online is from Jones. He says: "I've just completed Mike's (Mann) trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (from 1981 onward) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline."
Jones was referring to tree ring data that indicated temperatures after the 1950s weren't as warm as scientists had determined.
The "trick" that Jones said he was borrowing from Mann was to add the real temperatures, not what the tree rings showed. And the decline he talked of hiding was not in real temperatures, but in the tree ring data which was misleading, Mann explained. ...
Gerald North, a climate scientist at Texas A&M University, headed a National Academy of Sciences study that looked at — and upheld as valid — Mann's earlier studies that found the 1990s were the hottest years in centuries.
"In my opinion the meaning is much more innocent than might be perceived by others taken out of context. Much of this is overblown," North said.
Mann contends he always has been upfront about uncertainties, pointing to the title of his 1999 study: "Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties and Limitations." ...
The most provocative e-mails are usually about one aspect of climate science: research from a decade ago that studied how warm or cold it was centuries ago through analysis of tree rings, ice cores and glacial melt. And most of those e-mails, which stretch from 1996 to last month, are from about a handful of scientists in dozens of e-mails.
Still, such research has been a key element in measuring climate change over long periods.
As part of the AP review, summaries of the e-mails that raised issues from the potential manipulation of data to intensely personal attacks were sent to seven experts in research ethics, climate science and science policy.
"This is normal science politics, but on the extreme end, though still within bounds," said Dan Sarewitz, a science policy professor at Arizona State University. "We talk about science as this pure ideal and the scientific method as if it is something out of a cookbook, but research is a social and human activity full of all the failings of society and humans, and this reality gets totally magnified by the high political stakes here." ... http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gRa5F7Lv_zO0ZKaHmbQENlyV3KdgD9CHUS980

Related articles

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Toxic Waters: Regulatory Absence Allows Chemical, Coal and Farm Industries to Pollute US Water Supplies

The Non-Profit and Honest Democracy Now with Amy Goodman www.DemocracyNow.org provides more truthful facts about what is really going on in our country. Even a few conservatives watch it to get the whole truth.

For most homes, the use of carbon filters for water will reduce the amount of toxic stuff in most water supplies because the purification process is inadequate to refuse all toxins from large volumes of water.

Looks like President Obama also loves spying on Americans which seems to be necessary to catch native terrorists in our country. Perhaps the dangerous Far Right Wing can be jailed for sedition and corporate crooks can be caught before they steal too much from us.

Most in the Obama administration seem to be much more competent and honest than we saw in the last 8 years of stolen elections. They are also catching many more terrorists than Bush and will probably prevent another big attack experienced in 2001 where incompetence deliberate or not led to the attack. The Spy agencies did very well, but Bush/Cheney almost seemed to thwarting anyone doing anything. The Best FBI head was fired, all extra security at airports was removed, and the administration even allowed the hijackers who were stopped at the gate to proceed after being contacted. Some of their names were on the terrorist list:

Stealing about 4 percent of the votes by whatever method including taking Democrats off the voting rolls in 2000 and 2004, and compilers of precinct votes and crooked touch screen voting machines seems to enough to win elections in 2000 and 2004, but not in 2006 or 2008. The recount showed, if you read beyond the Front Page headlines, that Gore won in 2000 in spite of widespread fraud without even invalidating the 600 fraudulent overseas votes for Bush. Bush won by just over 500 votes.

Jim Kawakami, Oct 22, 2009, http://jimboguy.blogspot.com

* Toxic Waters: Regulatory Absence Allows Chemical, Coal and Farm Industries to Pollute US Water Supplies *

We speak to New York Times reporter Charles Duhigg about the latest in his investigative series "Toxic Waters," which examines the worsening pollution in the nation's water systems. Duhigg joined us last month to discuss how chemical companies have violated the Clean Water Act more than 500,000 times in the last five years, most without punishment. Since then he has written articles focusing on how coal-fired power plants and large farms are threatening the nation's drinking water.

Listen/Watch/Read
http://www.democracynow.org/2009/10/22/toxic_waters_regulatory_absence_allows_chemical

* CIA Invests in Software Firm Monitoring Blogs, Twitter *

Wired magazine has revealed the investment arm of the Central Intelligence Agency has invested in a software firm called Visible Technologies that specializes in monitoring social media sites, including blogs, Flickr, YouTube, Twitter and Amazon. Wired reporter Noah Shachtman writes, "America's spy agencies want to read your blog posts, keep track of your Twitter updates˜even check out your book reviews on Amazon."

Listen/Watch/Read
http://www.democracynow.org/2009/10/22/cia_invests_in_software_firm_monitoring

* Read Amy Goodman's latest column *

"Trick or Treat for Climate Change"


http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/20091020_trick_or_treat_for_climate_change/

Consider writing your local newspaper and asking for them to carry the column, distributed by King Features. Many papers across the US have done so already.

If you see the column in your paper, please mail us a copy of the full page, to:

Democracy Now!
100 Lafayette St., Suite 604
New York, NY 10013

* New Book: Breaking the Sound Barrier by Amy Goodman, with a Foreword by Bill Moyers *

Amy Goodman breaks through the corporate media's lies, sound-bites, and silence in this wide-ranging new collection of articles.

"Amy Goodman is a towering progressive freedom-fighter in the media and the world. Breaking the Sound Barrier is another expression of her vision and courage." ˜Cornel West

Visit http://www.democracynow.org/store to get your signed copy today!

= = = = = = = = =

TODAY'S DEMOCRACY NOW!:

* University of Alaska Scientist Rick Steiner Loses Federal Grant Funding After Criticizing Oil Industry *

University of Alaska professor Rick Steiner says he's lost his federal grant funding for being an outspoken critic of the oil industry. For years, Steiner has criticized what he considered irresponsible actions by the oil industry, beginning with the 1989 Exxon Valdez oil spill. Last week, a university lawyer rejected a claim to overturn a decision to pull Steiner's $10,000 grant from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, known as NOAA. In its decision, a university lawyer wrote if a recipient of grant funding "uses his position and his time to, for example, advocate for or against a particular development project, the funding agency may have a legitimate concern."

Listen/Watch/Read
http://www.democracynow.org/2009/10/22/university_of_alaska_scientist_rick_steiner

* Headlines for October 22, 2009 *

US to Order Pay Cuts at Bailed-Out Firms
Dems Advance Repeal of Insurance Industry Antitrust Exemption

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Scientific Discoveries Extending Human Lifespan

CONTENTS:

Achievetrons

Deacetylation of Telomers Crucial to Longevity in Humans

Protein Regulating Movement of Mitochondria Keeps Oxygen in Neurons from Oxygen Cutoff

Epigenetics: 100 Reasons To Change The Way We Think About Genetics

Mutations of Live Attenuated TB Vaccine Believed to Cause It to Lose Its Effectiveness

New Study Genetic Study Shows Humans and Mice Have Only Four Fifths of Common Genes Explaining Failures of Treatments Working on Mice, but Not on Humans

The Good Guide to Health

Women Better Off Choosing Unattractive Males for Mates to Increase Chances for Successful Son


Melting Ice Sheets May Threaten Northeast USA and Canada

Depleted Water Tables Induce Droughts as Experienced in Northern China and India

__________________________________________________________________________________

Achievetrons

Lewis H. Lapham is the National Correspondent for Harper’s Magazine and the editor of Lapham’s Quarterly. http://harpers.org/archive/2009/03/0082408

Few men are so disinterested as to prefer to live in discomfort under a government which they hold to be right, rather than in comfort under one which they hold to be wrong.

Wedgwood

... The courses of undergraduate instruction at our prestigious colleges and universities no longer encourage or reward the freedoms of mind likely to disturb the country’s social and political seating plan. During the early years of the twentieth century, before America fell a foul of the dream of empire, the students on the lawns of academe, most of them inheritors of wealth and social position, already were assured of their getting ahead in the world. They could afford to take chances, to read or not to read the next day’s letter from Virginia Woolf or Julius Caesar, to mess up the protocols of political correctness, worship false gods, maybe go to Paris to try their luck with absinthe, their hand and eye at modern art or ancient decadence. If they strayed into the wilderness of politics, they did so in the manner of both Theodore and Franklin Roosevelt, with the enthusiasm of the amateur explorer. ... http://harpers.org/archive/2009/03/0082408

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(I have hope for President Obama because Columbia University requires reading the classics to understand the foibles of man, and the only one of the Ivy League schools to require such classes. Barbara Tuchman’s “The March of Folly: From Troy to Vietnam” shows that leaders, even those who head the Church, can be stupid, vain, and corrupt all at once. Since President Obama occupies the middle politically while talking left, but acting as a centrist, I have had difficulty predicting where he will fall on any particular program or policy. As you may have surmised, I don’t live in awe of the Best and the Brightest because I have seen the Clay Feet of many I have seen and experienced as a chemist in both an Academic environment and in industrial research, and my considering reading about politicians who came from the Best Schools. I love Lapham because he is from that Class, but sees the clay feet of those who run our government, financial system and unfortunately our lives. You can scroll through the various topics below and read what you might enjoy and learn. Jim)

President Barack Obama’s Christmas shopping for cabinet officers in December of last year prompted the national news media to rejoice in the glad tiding that his campaign slogan, “Change you can believe in,” was just and only that, a slogan. Instead of showing himself partial to “closet radicals” who might pose some sort of deep downfield threat to the status quo, Obama was choosing wisely from the high-end, happy few, dispensing with “the romantic and failed notion” that individuals never before seen on the White House lawn could provide the “maturity” needed “in a time of war and economic crisis.” David Brooks assured his readers in the New York Times that the incoming apparat, its members “twice as smart as the poor reporters who have to cover them,” embodied “the best of the Washington insiders.” “Achievetrons . . . who got double 800s on their SATs,” said Brooks, taking pains to list the schools from which they had received diplomas (Columbia, Harvard, Wellesley, Harvard Law, Stanford, Yale Law, Princeton, etc.) attesting to the worth of their wise counsel.

Karl Rove, former advance man for President George W. Bush, informed the Wall Street Journal that Tim Geithner (Dartmouth, Johns Hopkins) as secretary of the Treasury and Larry Summers (M.I.T., Harvard) as director of the National Economic Council were “solid picks,” both investments rated “reassuring” and “market-oriented.” ... Barack Obama’s Christmas shopping for cabinet officers in December of last year prompted the national news media to rejoice in the glad tiding that his campaign slogan, “Change you can believe in,” was just and only that, a slogan. Instead of showing himself partial to “closet radicals” who might pose some sort of deep downfield threat to the status quo, Obama was choosing wisely from the high-end, happy few, dispensing with “the romantic and failed notion” that individuals never before seen on the White House lawn could provide the “maturity” needed “in a time of war and economic crisis.” David Brooks assured his readers in the New York Times that the incoming apparat, its members “twice as smart as the poor reporters who have to cover them,” embodied “the best of the Washington insiders.” “Achievetrons . . . who got double 800s on their SATs,” said Brooks, taking pains to list the schools from which they had received diplomas (Columbia, Harvard, Wellesley, Harvard Law, Stanford, Yale Law, Princeton, etc.) attesting to the worth of their wise counsel. Karl Rove, former advance man for President George W. Bush, informed the Wall Street Journal that Tim Geithner (Dartmouth, Johns Hopkins) as secretary of the Treasury and Larry Summers (M.I.T., Harvard) as director of the National Economic Council were “solid picks,” both investments rated “reassuring” and “market-oriented.”

The mood was not as festive in the workshops of the romantic left, but even the churls who thought the appointees insufficiently progressive in their views of the American future took comfort in the remembrance of their candidate saying somewhere in a post-election speech, “Understand where the vision for change comes from. First and foremost, it comes from me.”

David Corn, the Washington bureau chief for Mother Jones, told the Washington Post that although the hotheads among his acquaintance were “disappointed, irritated or fit to be tied,” they held fast to the belief that Obama (Columbia, Harvard Law) would set the agenda, reprogram the operatives complicit in the stupidity and cynicism of the Bush and Clinton administrations; pragmatism was the watchword, and the dawning of a bright new day was guaranteed by the installation of what Brooks proclaimed a “valedictocracy,” post-partisan and non-ideological, its shoes shined, its hair combed, its ambition neatly pressed.

The recommendation deserves to be ranked with the ones until recently in vogue at the Palm Beach Country Club among the members acquainted with the achievetron Bernie Madoff. For the past sixty years the deputies assigned to engineer the domestic and foreign policies of governments newly arriving in Washington have come outfitted with similar qualifications— first-class schools, state-of-the-art networking, apprenticeship in a legislative body or a think tank—and for sixty years they have managed to weaken rather than strengthen the American democracy, ending their terms of office as objects of ridicule if not under threat of criminal arrest.

The Harvard wunderkinds (a.k.a. “the best and the brightest”) who followed President John F. Kennedy into the White House in 1961 hung around the map tables long enough to point the country in the direction of the Vietnam War. Henry Kissinger, another Harvard prodigy, imparted to American statecraft the modus operandi of a Mafia cartel. The Reagan Administration imported its book of revelation from the University of Chicago’s School of Economics (“privatization” the watchword, “unfettered free market” the Christian name for Zeus) and by so doing set in motion what lately has come to be seen as a long- running Ponzi scheme. Take into account the Ivy League’s contributions to the Bush Administration—Attorney General John Ashcroft (Yale), Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld (Princeton), director of Homeland Security Michael Chertoff (Harvard)—and I can imagine a doctoral thesis commissioned by the Kennedy School of Government and meant to determine which of the country’s leading institutions of higher learning over the past fifty years has done the most damage to the health and happiness of the American people.

It’s conceivable that the Obama Administration will prove itself the exception to the rule, but when the president says that his vision for change “comes from me” he leaves open the question as to whether he intends to generate itex cathedra (Barter) or ex nihilo (Out of Nothing ) . Neither method offers much chance of success if what is wanted or required is a recasting of the American democracy on a scale comparable to Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal. Socioeconomic alterations of a magnitude sufficient to be recognized as such tend to be collective enterprises, usually brought about by powers of mind and forces of circumstance outside, not inside, the circle of A-list opinion—the barbarians at the gates of fifth-century Rome, the sixteenth-century Protestant Reformation _personae non gratae _at the Vatican, the authors of the American Constitution far removed from the certain truths seated on velvet cushions in eighteenth-century London. Ulysses S. Grant, perhaps Lincoln’s most effective general, was virtually unknown to the War Office in Washington before the bombardment of Fort Sumter; during the Great Depression of the 1930s, FDR composed a “Brain Trust” of individuals (some of them academics, others not, none of them rounded up from the quorum of usual suspects) as willing as the president to “take a method and try it; if it fails, admit it frankly, and try another.” http://harpers.org/archive/2009/03/0082408

Deacetylation of Telomers Crucial to Longevity in Humans ... Scientists have long known that a class of proteins called sirtuins promotes fitness and longevity in most organisms ranging from single-celled yeast to mammals. At the cellular level, sirtuins protect genome integrity, enhance resistance to adverse stresses, and antagonize senescence. However, the underlying molecular mechanisms have remained poorly understood.

The team, led by senior author Shelley Berger, Ph.D., Hilary Koprowski Professor at The Wistar Institute, demonstrated for the first time a molecular target for a member of this class, Sir2, in regulation of aging in yeast cells. Sir2 removes an acetyl group attached to a specific site (lysine at position 16 or K16) on histone H4—histones are proteins that package and organize the long strands of DNA within the nucleus and also are central regulators in turning genes on and off. The study reveals that removal of this acetyl group by Sir2 near the chromosome ends—the telomeres—is important for yeast cells to maintain the ability to replicate. Researchers found that Sir2 levels decline as cells age, and there is a concomitant accumulation of the acetylation mark along with disrupted histone organization at telomeres.

Deacetylation of H4K16 by Sir2 and consequent telomere stability play a major role in maintaining long lifespan in yeast. Since sirtuins deacetylate many different proteins, these results clarify a key role of Sir2 protein in control of lifespan.

"Some modifications on histones, like this acetylation on histone H4 lysine 16, are persistent and are maintained through generations of cell divisions. This DNA-independent inheritance is called epigenetics," Berger says. "Characteristic epigenetic features have been discovered for various developmental processes in recent years. Understanding epigenetic changes associated with aging is a hugely exciting direction in aging research. It will provide insights and ideas not only for new therapies to regulate cells that have lost control of proliferation, such as 'immortal' cells found in cancers, but also for new strategies to maintain health and fitness." ... http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/06/090610133447.htm


Protein Regulating Movement of Mitochondria Keeps Oxygen in Neurons from Oxygen Cutoff

... Understanding the mechanisms that regulate the movement of mitochondria may help scientists identify how the brain's cells ward off and potentially repair damage. An example is the role that mitochondria play as a calcium buffer. One of the mitochondria's functions is to help control the concentration of calcium in the cell, which the organelles can rapidly absorb and store. This capacity is important, particularly in instances when calcium levels in the cell spike during a stroke, a condition which contributes a cascading series of events that ultimately lead to a state called excitotoxicity and cell death.

One of the keys to identifying the function of HUMMR has been the appreciation in that the body operates at a relatively low oxygen level. While the air we breath consists of approximately 20% oxygen, the cells in the brain sit at somewhere between 2-5% oxygen. This creates a "normal" state of hypoxia in the brain.

However, the concentration of oxygen in the brain can drop even further in instances such as a stroke, when blood flow to a portion of the brain is cut off. This decrease in oxygen promotes the expression of HUMMR which, in turn, mobilizes mitochondria. More mitochondria in the correct position may mean the cell has a greater capacity to filter out toxic levels of calcium. Rempe and his colleagues are now investigating the role that HUMMR may play in stroke models, particularly whether or not this activity helps protect vulnerable cells that lie just outside the core areas of the brain that are damaged by stroke. ... http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/06/090615093925.htm


Epigenetics: 100 Reasons To Change The Way We Think About Genetics

ScienceDaily (May 20, 2009) — For years, genes have been considered the one and only way biological traits could be passed down through generations of organisms.


Not anymore.

Increasingly, biologists are finding that non-genetic variation acquired during the life of an organism can sometimes be passed on to offspring—a phenomenon known as epigenetic inheritance. An article forthcoming in the July issue of The Quarterly Review of Biology lists over 100 well-documented cases of epigenetic inheritance between generations of organisms, and suggests that non-DNA inheritance happens much more often than scientists previously thought.

Biologists have suspected for years that some kind of epigenetic inheritance occurs at the cellular level. The different kinds of cells in our bodies provide an example. Skin cells and brain cells have different forms and functions, despite having exactly the same DNA. There must be mechanisms—other than DNA—that make sure skin cells stay skin cells when they divide.

Only recently, however, have researchers begun to find molecular evidence of non-DNA inheritance between organisms as well as between cells. The main question now is: How often does it happen?

"The analysis of these data shows that epigenetic inheritance is ubiquitous …," write Eva Jablonka and Gal Raz, both of Tel-Aviv University in Israel. Their article outlines inherited epigenetic variation in bacteria, protists, fungi, plants, and animals.

These findings "represent the tip of a very large iceberg," the authors say.

For example, Jablonka and Raz cite a study finding that when fruit flies are exposed to certain chemicals, at least 13 generations of their descendants are born with bristly outgrowths on their eyes. Another study found that exposing a pregnant rat to a chemical that alters reproductive hormones leads to generations of sick offspring. Yet another study shows higher rates of heart disease and diabetes in the children and grandchildren of people who were malnourished in adolescence.

In these cases, as well as the rest of the cases Jablonka and Raz cite, the source of the variation in subsequent generations was not DNA. Rather, the new traits were carried on through epigenetic means.

There are four known mechanisms for epigenetic inheritance. According to Jablonka and Raz, the best understood of these is "DNA methylation." Methyls, small chemical groups within cells, latch on to certain areas along the DNA strand. The methyls serve as a kind of switch that renders genes active or inactive.

By turning genes on and off, methyls can have a profound impact on the form and function of cells and organisms, without changing the underlying DNA. If the normal pattern of methyls is altered—by a chemical agent, for example—that new pattern can be passed to future generations.

The result, as in the case of the pregnant rats, can be dramatic and stick around for generations, despite the fact that underlying DNA remains unchanged. ... http://www.sciencedaily.com /releases/2009/05/090518111723.htm

Mutations of Live Attenuated TB Vaccine Believed to Cause It to Lose Its Effectiveness ScienceDaily (May 24, 2009) —

Not fully realized by researchers about how attenuated vaccines can mutate back to the more virulent ones as seen in the polio vaccine in India due to excretion of the modified virus into to the water supply. Viruses mutate by breaking up and recombining with fragments of other viruses. In this way they might be able to change the attenuated vaccine back to the more virulent one. So I question whether some of the weakness of vaccines could be due to the introduction of more more virulent or less effective species.

In this case the TB bacteria vaccine became less effective because it still produced antioxidants because our immune response works by an oxidation process. When the researcher first author Lakshmi Sadagopal, Ph.D., research instructor of Medicine proposed this approach, many negative responses occurred, but she was able to convince Professor Kermodle.

One good result of all the smart students going into higher income areas such as finance is that it left room for the so-called lesser students such as women and foreigners to make many of the recent breakthroughs in research such as Lakshmi Sadagopal. Bill & Melinda Gates looked into the future effects of global warming where migration of both people and bugs will bring diseases to the Developed Countries. So they have heavily funded research in Malaria and AIDs and Drug development neglected by Big Pharma to prepare us for our certain future.


Jim Kawakami

May 24, 2009

The Aeras Global TB Vaccine Foundation, supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, has already licensed the modification technology developed by Kernodle and colleagues. Aeras is working to make the best possible modified BCG vaccine, and it has built the infrastructure to conduct clinical trials in South Africa, Kenya and India – countries with a high incidence of TB. ...

A team of Vanderbilt University Medical Center investigators has cracked one of clinical medicine's enduring mysteries – what happened to the tuberculosis vaccine. The once-effective vaccine no longer prevents the bacterial lung infection that kills more than 1.7 million people worldwide each year. ...

The current TB vaccine, known as BCG (bacille Calmette-Guérin), has been around since the 1920s. It was made by weakening (attenuating) a strain of bacteria that causes tuberculosis in cows and that genetically is 98 percent identical to the human TB germ. ...

Kernodle and colleagues came to the problem of BCG's poor activity against pulmonary TB from a different angle. They had reported in 2001 that one way TB itself evades the immune system is by producing antioxidants. Since BCG also produces antioxidants, they suggested that removing BCG's antioxidant-producing capacity might improve the vaccine.

"Our idea to take something away from BCG – and therefore theoretically attenuate it even further – was met with a lot of skepticism," Kernodle said. "But we believed our data that we could make BCG more immunogenic and safer." ...

In the current studies, first author Lakshmi Sadagopal, Ph.D., research instructor of Medicine, vaccinated mice with a modified BCG (genetically changed in three ways to reduce or eliminate the production of several antioxidants) and examined the immune response in the days following vaccination and later with a "challenge" dose of BCG.

She found that, compared to BCG, the modified BCG induced greater cytokine (immune regulatory factor) production during the early phase of the immune response, more CD8 cell-killing T cells at the peak of the primary response, and more CD4 helper T cells during the memory phase. Modified BCG also produced greater recall immune responses and was eliminated better by the vaccinated host animal than the parent BCG vaccine, which might correlate with improved safety in humans.

"At each time point of the immune response, the modified BCG vaccine worked better than the parent BCG vaccine," Kernodle said. "By targeting antioxidants that had increased in expression during decades of cultivation, we ended up making BCG more like it was back in the 1920s when it was 80 percent effective against pulmonary TB. We fixed it."

Using modern molecular techniques to reduce the activity of antioxidants below levels in naturally occurring strains, "it should be possible to make it even better than the original BCG," he added. ... http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/05/090519152446.htm

New Study Genetic Study Shows Humans and Mice Have Only Four Fifths of Common Genes Explaining Failures of Treatments Working on Mice, but Not on Humans

ScienceDaily (May 27, 2009) — A new article in PLoS Biology explores exactly what distinguishes the human genome from that of the lab mouse. In the first comprehensive comparison between the genes of mice and humans, scientists from institutions across America, Sweden and the UK reveal that there are more genetic differences between the two species than had been previously thought.


One-fifth of mouse genes are new copies that have emerged in the last 90 million years of mouse evolution. These large differences between genes in humans and the mouse are likely to reflect many of the differences that distinguish human and mouse biology.

These findings are reported in a landmark publication describing the finished genome sequence of the mouse, which, after the human, is only the second completed sequence for any mammal. That humans and mice have four-fifths of their genes in common – and that these genes have been identified - directly enhances scientists' abilities to pick out mouse genes that are most applicable to human disease. In effect, what this new research has shown is how to neatly separate biology that humans share with mice from biology found in one species only. ... http://www.sciencedaily.com /releases/2009/05/090526202722.htm

The Good Guide to Health

By CLAIRE CAIN MILLER

Published: June 14, 2009

SAN FRANCISCO — These days, every skin lotion and dish detergent on store shelves gloats about how green it is. How do shoppers know which are good for them and good for the earth?He realized he did not know what was in the lotion. He went to his office and quickly discovered that it contained a carcinogen activated by sunlight. It also contained an endocrine disruptor and two skin irritants. He also discovered that her soap included a kind of dioxane, a carcinogen, and then found that one of her brand-name toys was made with lead.

And in looking for the answer, he hatched the idea for a company that used his esoteric research on supply chain management. “All I do is study this, and I know nothing about the products I’m bringing into our house and putting in, on and around our family,” Mr. O’Rourke said. But when he wanted to find that information, he could. Most consumers would struggle to do so.

Hence GoodGuide, a Web site and iPhone application that lets consumers dig past the package’s marketing spiel by entering a product’s name and discovering its health, environmental and social impacts. ... http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/15/technology/internet/15guide.html?em

Women Better Off Choosing Unattractive Males for Mates to Increase Chances for Successful Son



(I am unusually attracted to actress types according to Jung. Unfortunately I found them to be unsuitable marriage material. But I did notice many of the men who go into acting are Gay or of undetermined sexuality at UCLA. Anyone have a different opinion? Jim)


... In a research paper published in the Oct. 7 edition of the prestigious journal Science, UBC zoology professor Sarah Otto and graduate student Arianne Albert propose a model that explains why males in some species have extravagant displays for attracting females, while males in other species look just like females.

Many groups of animals, including humans, have an “XY” sex-determining system through which the father determines the sex of the offspring -- the offspring is female if it receives an X chromosome from the father, and vice versa. For these species, the chromosome on which flashy displays is coded will determine whether the sons or the daughters inherit the physical trait.

“If the genes coding for flashy displays are on the X, the genes from a sexy dad only appear in his daughters, making them visible to predators without improving their reproductive success, and thus favouring the evolution of preferences for dull males,” says Albert, lead author of the paper. ... http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2005/10/051009201943.htm


Money Worries Make Women Spend More

ScienceDaily (May 23, 2009) — At times of crisis women are more inclined to spend themselves out of misery than at stable times, a new survey suggests. Psychologists say that the recession could force more women to overspend or increase their risk of mental illness.


A survey conducted by Professor Karen Pine, from the University of Hertfordshire and author of Sheconomics, to be released on 21 May 2009 found that 79% of women said they would go on a spending spree to cheer themselves up. Professor Pine’s research concludes that some women use shopping as an emotion regulator, a way of anesthetising themselves to negative feelings or dissatisfaction with life. So worrying about money could, paradoxically, lead women to spend more.

Of the 700 women surveyed, four out of ten named ‘depression’, and six out of ten named ‘feeling a bit low’, as reasons to go on a spending spree and overspend. Women commonly expressed the view that shopping has the power to make them feel better.

Professor Pine’s research found that an intense emotional state, high or low, could send women to the shops. “This type of spending, or compensatory consumption, serves as a way of regulating intense emotions,” she said.

This ability to regulate emotions is crucial for mental and physical wellbeing and humans adopt a variety of means of doing so, including drugs and alcohol. Shopping is one method increasingly adopted by women.

“If shopping is an emotional habit for women they may feel the need to keep spending despite the economic downturn,” said Professor Pine. “Or, perhaps worse still, if they can’t spend we might see an increase in mental health problems such as anxiety and depression.” ... http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/05/090521084834.htm

Melting Ice Sheets May Threaten Northeast USA and Canada


This visualization, based on new computer modeling, shows that sea level rise may be an additional 10 centimeters (4 inches) higher by populated areas in northeastern North America than previously thought. Extreme northeastern North America and Greenland may experience even higher sea level rise. (Credit: Graphic courtesy Geophysical Research Letters, modified by UCAR)

ScienceDaily (May 28, 2009) — Melting of the Greenland ice sheet this century may drive more water than previously thought toward the already threatened coastlines of New York, Boston, Halifax, and other cities in the northeastern United States and Canada, according to new research led by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).


The study, which is being published May 29 in Geophysical Research Letters, finds that if Greenland's ice melts at moderate to high rates, ocean circulation by 2100 may shift and cause sea levels off the northeast coast of North America to rise by about 12 to 20 inches (about 30 to 50 centimeters) more than in other coastal areas. The research builds on recent reports that have found that sea level rise associated with global warming could adversely affect North America, and its findings suggest that the situation is more threatening than previously believed.

"If the Greenland melt continues to accelerate, we could see significant impacts this century on the northeast U.S. coast from the resulting sea level rise," says NCAR scientist Aixue Hu, the lead author. "Major northeastern cities are directly in the path of the greatest rise."

A study in Nature Geoscience in March warned that warmer water temperatures could shift ocean currents in a way that would raise sea levels off the Northeast by about 8 inches (20 cm) more than the average global sea level rise. But it did not include the additional impact of Greenland's ice, which at moderate to high melt rates would further accelerate changes in ocean circulation and drive an additional 4 to 12 inches (about 10 to 30 cm) of water toward heavily populated areas of northeastern North America on top of average global sea level rise. More remote areas in extreme northeastern Canada and Greenland could see even higher sea level rise.

Scientists have been cautious about estimating average sea level rise this century in part because of complex processes within ice sheets. The 2007 assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projected that sea levels worldwide could rise by an average of 7 to 23 inches (18 to 59 cm) this century, but many researchers believe the rise will be greater because of dynamic factors in ice sheets that appear to have accelerated the melting rate in recent years.

The new research was funded by the U.S. Department of Energy and by NCAR's sponsor, the National Science Foundation. It was conducted by scientists at NCAR, the University of Colorado at Boulder, and Florida State University. ... http://www.sciencedaily.com /releases/2009/05/090527121055.htm

Depleted Water Tables Induce Droughts as Experienced in Northern China and India

The Amazon Rain Forest water evaporation from trees produces its own source of heavy rains. So since we are depleting many of the water tables in Texas, Colorado, and Montana, it is likely future droughts will become more severe. Northern China went from green fields to expanding desert sands by depleting their water tables by excessive farming. The frequent dust storms in Beijing are something to dread for visitors as well as residents near these northern desert regions.

Jim Kawakami

June 4, 2009

ScienceDaily (Oct. 1, 2008) — Will there be another "dust bowl" in the Great Plains similar to the one that swept the region in the 1930s?


It depends on water storage underground. Groundwater depth has a significant effect on whether the Great Plains will have a drought or bountiful year.

Recent modeling results show that the depth of the water table, which results from lateral water flow at the surface and subsurface, determines the relative susceptibility of regions to changes in temperature and precipitation.

"Groundwater is critical to understand the processes of recharge and drought in a changing climate," said Reed Maxwell, an atmospheric scientist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, who along with a colleague at Bonn University analyzed the models that appear in the Sept. 28 edition of the journal Nature Geoscience.

Maxwell and Stefan Kollet studied the response of a watershed in the southern Great Plains in Oklahoma using a groundwater/surface-water/land-surface model.

The southern Great Plains are an important agricultural region that has experienced severe droughts during the past century including the "dust bowl" of the 1930s. This area is characterized by little winter snowpack, rolling terrain and seasonal precipitation.

While the onset of droughts in the region may depend on sea surface temperature, the length and depth of major droughts appear to depend on soil moisture conditions and land-atmosphere interactions. ...

The models showed that groundwater storage acts as a moderator of watershed response and climate feedbacks. In areas with a shallow water table, changes in land conditions, such as how wet or dry the soil is and how much water is available for plant function, are related to an increase in atmospheric temperatures. In areas with deep water tables, changes at the land surface are directly related to amount of precipitation and plant type.

But in the critical zone, identified here between two and five meter's depth, there is a very strong correlation between the water table depth and the land surface.

"These findings also have strong implications for drought and show a strong dependence on areas of convergent flow and water table depth," Maxwell said. "The role of lateral subsurface flow should not be ignored in climate-change simulations and drought analysis." ... http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/09/080929133725.htm