Friday, February 4, 2011

Climate Change Still Chance to Prevent Huge Disasters

Tags: Climate Change Models Improved Greenland-Scotland Ridge Mid-Pliocene Explains Widespread Warming

Currently carbon dioxide levels alone cannot explain the widespread increase in ocean temperatures towards the poles. Understanding how underwater ridges impact the ocean’s circulation system will help improve climate projections models.


Going back 3 million years in the mid-Pliocene warm period, it was discovered that the Greenland-Scotland Ridge which was lower at that time allowed faster flow of warm water to the poles. At a temperature only 4 degrees Centigrade higher than when Antarctica Glaciers completed covered the land, all the glaciers were melted based on recent ice core studies and water levels of the ocean.


I interpret this to mean that we still have a chance for us to prevent the melting of the Greenland and Antarctica Glaciers which would raised ocean levels by over 60 feet.


Jim Kawakami, Jan 4, 2011, http://jimboguy.blogspot.com


ScienceDaily (Feb. 4, 2011) — http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/02/110203101301.htm New discoveries on how underwater ridges impact the ocean's circulation system will help improve climate projections.


Reference


An underwater ridge can trap the flow of cold, dense water at the bottom of the ocean. Without the ridge, deepwater can flow freely and speed up the ocean circulation pattern, which generally increases the flow of warm surface water.

Warm water on the ocean's surface makes the formation of sea ice difficult. With less ice present to reflect the sun, surface water will absorb more sunlight and continue to warm.

U.S. Geological Survey scientists looked back 3 million years, to the mid-Pliocene warm period, and studied the influence of the North Atlantic Ocean's Greenland-Scotland Ridge on surface water temperature.

"Sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans were much warmer during the mid-Pliocene warm period than they are today, but climate models so far have been unable to fully understand and account for the cause of this large scale of warming," said USGS scientist Marci Robinson. "Our research suggests that a lower height of the Greenland-Scotland Ridge during this geologic age was a contributor to the increase of poleward heat transport."

"This is the first time the impact of a North Atlantic underwater ridge on the ocean circulation system was tested in a mid-Pliocene experiment," said Robinson. "Understanding this process allows for more accurate predictions of factors such as ocean temperature and ice volume changes."

Research was conducted on the mid-Pliocene because it is the most recent interval in the earth's history in which global temperatures reached and remained at levels similar to those projected for the 21st century by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Therefore, it may be one of the closest analogs in helping to understand the earth's current and future conditions.

The article was published in the journal, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, and can be viewed online. Any journalists who are not registered with this journal and cannot view this article can contact us to have a copy emailed to them.

This research contributes to the scientific foundation needed to make sound planning decisions in response to changes in climate and land use. To learn more, visit the Climate and Land Use Change website (http://www.usgs.gov/climate_landuse/).

The USGS led this research through the Pliocene Research, Interpretation and Synoptic Mapping group. The primary collaborators in this research are the University of Leeds, University of Bristol and the British Geological Survey. More information about PRISM research is available online (http://geology.er.usgs.gov/eespteam/prism/index.html).

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